Are diamond prices expected to rise ?
Diamond is an extremely rare material. Formed in depth under exceptional conditions, rough diamonds rise to the surface through the earth's crust, especially during volcanic eruptions. They are then displaced and dispersed by rain runoff and streams, sometimes to the bottom of the oceans. It takes so many specific circumstances and constraints for this mythical stone to form and reach the surface of the Earth, and its very existence is largely the greatest of coincidences. This singularity makes diamond the most expensive natural material known and an unalterable safe haven.
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Diamonds are eternal but their deposits are not. No natural resource lasts forever, and this already rare stone is becoming increasingly rare. As the value is strongly linked to scarcity, the rise in the price of rough diamonds is very likely in the coming years, especially if global demand continues to grow, according to estimates, notably with the rise of China, Russia and soon from Africa.
Diamond production is expected to peak in 2019, after which it will begin to decline gradually. It is estimated that world production will fall by 1% to 2% per year until 2030. And a decline in extraction capacity would necessarily corollary a sharp rise in the price of diamonds becoming increasingly rare in the 21st century.
This mismatch between supply and demand will inevitably provoke a surge in prices.
Be that as it may, the road is long from the mine to the windows of the jewelers. After their extraction, the rough diamonds must be processed, sorted and sold. Then they are cut, certified and marketed by a very wide and dispersed network of diamond dealers to jewelers around the world who crimp them in their jewelry. This multiplicity and diversity of players, the length and density of the value chain and the absence of a single course favors a gradual evolution of the diamond market. The real consequences of the decline in production will not be felt until retailers tell consumers that a type of diamond is no longer available and that there is no substitute stone close to the buyer.
As long as there is love, there will be diamond cravings to seal a union. And more and more women emancipate and buy themselves diamond jewelry. In recent decades, diamonds have also become an increasingly popular safe haven for diversifying investment. This stone will always have value while being disconnected from currencies, states and economic conditions. A new demand from China, India, Russia and other emerging countries suggests a growth of a market, now valued at 60 billion dollars. The diamond has not finished talking about him, its timeless beauty, its exceptional properties, and the evolution of its price "linear or exponential"?